ALTcointip bot allows Redditors to tip various cryptocoins to each other. 15 cryptocurrencies are supported - Bitcoin, Litecoin, Peercoin, Primecoin, Namecoin, Megacoin, BBQCoin, Digitalcoin, Infinitecoin, Ixcoin, Mincoin, Quarkcoin, Stablecoin, and Zetacoin.
Let’s start a campaign to get BC on BTC-e based on its lightning speed to move coins for arbitrage between exchanges. BCE-e already lists Bitcoin, Litecoin, Peercoin, Namecoin, Primecoin, and Terracoin, Why not Blackcoin; we have the volume.
A brief history of the 2013 market peak; why some alts really do die; and what would've happened if you'd given in to FOMO
This piece is a follow-up to my earlier piece, which looked at what would’ve happened if you’d purchased alt-coins shortly after the bottom of the 2013-2015 bear market. A lot of the constructive criticism that I received was that I was too bullish on alt-coins, and that the timing was too convenient. Although it’s fair to say that I am bullish on crypto in general and alt-coins in particular (with several major caveats for both), I agree that it’s important to not just focus on historical analyses where it’s fairly clear that you could have earned money. So, today’s research question is whether you’d still be underwater if you’d bought in to the market at or near the 2013 all-time high. All information cited herein comes from the historical charts available at CoinMarketCap. TL;DR: This worst-case scenario analysis shows that $300 invested equally across 15 of the 40 coins in existence near the market’s peak in 2013 would be worth only $429.95 today—gains which are entirely attributable to Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ripple. This is basic, but it can be dangerous to buy high. This is especially true of alt-coins, but even the top three coins in our sample saw fairly lackluster results when bought at the top of the market. Finally, nothing in this post should be taken as investment advice. This is only intended as historical analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. A Brief History of the 2013 Market Peak According to CoinMarketCap, the 2013 bull market peaked on December 4, 2013, at ~$15.87 billion in market capitalization.* Thereafter, the market crashed dramatically not once, but twice. In the first crash, which occurred between December 5-8, 2013, overall market cap fell by ~39% to ~$9.66 billion. Then, after a brief recovery to ~$13.57 billion on December 10th, the market fell precipitously, to ~$5.7 billion on December 18, 2013. Thus, over the course of only two weeks, from December 4-18, 2013, the market lost ~64% of its value. Although this was by no means the end of the 2013-2015 bear market--which lasted for approximately 17 months and saw an additional decline of ~45% from the December 18, 2013 low--this was the end of the beginning. What If I Bought Crypto Right as the 2013 Market Peaked? Generally, the first rule of trading is** that you want to buy low and sell high. As a result of their fear of missing out (“FOMO”), however, many people find themselves accidentally buying high. Today, I’m going to look at what would have happened to someone who bought their crypto right as the market was peaking. Ideally, I would run this experiment from December 4, 2013, but due to the limited data available from CoinMarketCap, I’m forced to choose between November 24th, December 1st, December 8th, and December 15th. Of those dates, I have selected December 1, 2013, because it represents the worst possible scenario for which I have data. On that date, total crypto market cap, which had hit a new high of ~$15.4 billion the day before, swung wildly between a high of ~$14.83 billion and a low of ~$12.18 billion. Unfortunately, it’s unclear exactly when CoinMarketCap’s snapshot was taken. That said, it’s clear that our hypothetical FOMO trader is about to lose his shirt over the next few weeks, so let’s dive into the specifics. On December 1, 2013, there were 40 coins listed on CoinMarketCap. I won’t list them all here, but of those 40, all but 11 are still listed as active on CoinMarketCap. The truly dead (or “inactive”) coins are BBQCoin (BQC; rank 16), Devcoin (DVC; rank 19), Tickets (TIX; rank 22), Copperlark (CLR; rank 24), StableCoin (SBC; rank 25), Luckycoin (LKY—ironic, I realize; rank 31), Franko (FRK; rank 34), Bytecoin (BTE; rank 35), Junkcoin (JKE—how apt; rank 36), CraftCoin (CRC; rank 39), and Colossuscoin (COL; rank 40).*** Now, since this post is already incredibly long, instead of testing all 40 coins, let’s take a decently-sized sample of five coins each from the top, middle, and bottom of the stack, and look at what happens. For the middle, although the temptation is to take decent alts, let’s fight that and take the group with the highest failure rate: ranks 21-25. So, here’s out pool:
Top Five: Bitcoin, Litecoin, Ripple, Peercoin, and Namecoin
Middle Five: Yacoin, Tickets, Ixcoin, Copperlark, and Stablecoin (ranks 21-25)
Bottom Five: Junkcoin, Argentum, Elacoin, CraftCoin, and Colossuscoin (ranks 36-40)
Now, here are how our sample of coins has performed as of when I write this:****
Bitcoin: Up from $1,083.14 to $6,957.99—a ~6.42x increase
Litecoin: Up from $39.77 to $117.43—a ~2.95x increase
Ripple: Up from $0.047034 to $0.527721—an ~11.22x increase
Peercoin: Down from $7.58 to $1.62—a ~78.6% loss
Namecoin: Down from $9.94 to $1.52—an 84.7% loss
So, if our hypothetical FOMO trader had invested $100 in our top-five sample near the 2013 peak, it would currently be worth $411.80 (the profitable coins) + $3.06 (PPC) + $4.27 (NMC) = $419.13—a 4.19x increase. Now for the two coins in the middle five that didn’t completely die:
Yacoin: Down from $0.311704 to $0.001025—a ~99.7% loss (Note: Since a $20 investment would only be worth a little over six cents, I’m calling this a total loss)
Ixcoin: Down from $0.146275 to 0.111126—a ~24% loss
So, if our hypothetical FOMO trader had invested $100 in our middle-five sample near the 2013 peak, it would currently be worth ~$15.19—an ~84.8% loss. Finally, here are the two coins from the bottom five that didn’t completely die:
Elacoin: Down from $10.95 to $0.212289—a ~98% loss (Note: since this is only worth about $0.39, I’m calling this a total loss)
Argentum: Down from $0.793038 to $0.117466—an ~85.2% loss.
So, excluding everything buy Argentum, if our hypothetical FOMO trader had invested $100 in our bottom-five sample near the 2013 peak, it would currently be worth ~$2.96—a ~97% loss. Putting it all together, $300 invested in this sample of 15 coins as close to the peak of the 2013 market as the data will let me get, would be worth $429.95—a disappointing, but not-unexpected ~30.2% increase over five years. That said, I’m honestly somewhat amazed our FOMO trader made anything at all on this basket of coins, considering how many of them failed. In any case, all of his gains came from the top-three coins from 2013: Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ripple. Conclusions What’s the lesson here, what’s the takeaway?***** Most importantly, I think the above analysis shows that it can be very dangerous to buy alt-coins when the market is at or near an all-time high—a conclusion that appears to be true regardless of where the alt is positioned in the market. That said, there are a few caveats: (1) this sample was intentionally bad, in order to reflect a worst-case scenario; (2) even buying the top-three coins at the all-time high didn’t net our FOMO trader particularly large gains when compared to someone who bought these same coins after the crash. Therefore, I think that the most important lesson here is not to buy high in the first place. Investing solely because of FOMO will probably cause you to lose money, unless you have invested equally in a broad range of cryptocurrencies, like the trader in our hypothetical. Even then, however, our FOMO trader probably would have done better investing in an S&P Index fund over the same period. Endnotes *This is a correction to my earlier piece, in which I stated that the cryptocurrency market peaked on November 30, 2013, at a total market capitalization of ~$15.2 billion. I made this error due to having failed to narrow the date range of the chart so I could properly zoon in. That said, the exact details of the market peak don’t affect the conclusions from my last piece, which considered trades made after the market had bottomed out. ** …you do not talk about trading. Wait, that’s the wrong rulebook. *** Since I already typed it out, here’s the list of remaining active coins, in descending order: Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), Ripple (XRP), Peercoin (PPC), Namecoin (NMC), Megacoin (MEC), Feathercoin (FTC), WorldCoin (WDC), Primecoin (XPM), Freicoin (FRC), Novacoin (NVC), Zetacoin (ZET), Infinitecoin (IFC), Terracoin (TRC), Crypto Bullion (CBX), Anoncoin (ANC), Digitalcoin (DGC), GoldCoin (GLD), Yacoin (YAC), Ixcoin (IXC), Fastcoin (FST), BitBar (BTB), Mincoin (MNC), Tagcoin (TAG), FlorinCoin (FLO), I0Coin (I0C), Phoenixcoin (PXC), Argentum (ARG), Elacoin (ELC) **** I know that we could have sold them sooner, and probably for more money, but let’s just assume that our hypothetical FOMO trader was a founding member of the #hodlgang. ;-) ***** Don’t mess with Maui when he’s on a breakaway! You’re welcome. ;-) Disclosures: I have previous held Litecoin, and currently hold approximately $140 of Ripple. I do not believe this influenced my analysis in any way. I have never bought or held any of the other coins discussed in this analysis. Edits: Formatting, typos, minor clarifications.
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Abstract Merged mining refers to the concept of mining more than one cryptocurrency without necessitating additional proof-of-work effort. Merged mining was introduced in 2011 as a boostrapping mechanism for new cryptocurrencies and countermeasures against the fragmentation of mining power across competing systems. Although merged mining has already been adopted by a number of cryptocurrencies, to this date little is known about the effects and implications. In this thesis, we shed light on this topic area by performing a comprehensive analysis of merged mining in practice. As part of this analysis, we present a block attribution scheme for mining pools to assist in the evaluation of mining centralization. Our findings disclose that mining pools in merge-mined cryptocurrencies have operated at the edge of, and even beyond, the security guarantees offered by the underlying Nakamoto consensus for extended periods. 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/r/Tezos subscriber count is ranked #47 out of 96 on my list of crypto related subreddits
I maintain a list of subscriptions over time for all the largest crypto subreddits i can find. (does anyone else know of a similar list?) Any big pop in price is preceded and/or coincides with a big jump in subscribers. /Tezos sub rate is basically flat, sorry to say. I can post the python code i use to collect subscriber count if anyone is interested.
PSA: Machines that run bitcoin nodes will get wallet download attempts
I'm probably not the first person to notice this, so this may be a reminder for some of you, but I have a machine that runs a public bitcoin node and its received a scan for wallets. There would need to be some serious misconfiguration for this scan to succeed. This emphasises that its not a good idea to store a wallet on a machine that runs a public bitcoin node. These are failed http requests that occurred in a 24 hour period. (They have bee repeated on subsequent occasions).
Altcoins aiming to become The world currency to replace all others
I think cryptocurrencies have a chance of not only becoming big, but also replacing Paypal along with even fiat currencies such as $ and €. Apart from super fast transaction speed, low or zero fees, optional privacy, ease of use, and a large enough quantity of coins to allow for microtransactions (even for an altcoin worth $1 quadrillion in market cap), I think it's vital that a contender for an altcoin "universal single currency" for the very long term allow for companies and average people alike to have a single username / address (such as an email address) to send money from or receive money to. I should never have to change this address. What altcoins are most well-positioned to become this ideal currency? I have a shortlist below, but I'd be interested in any other altcoins you might think of: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, IOTA, NEM, Litecoin, Dash, NEO, Ethereum Classic, OmiseGo, Monero, Qtum, Stratis, Waves, Zcash, TenX, EOS, Lisk, STEEM, BitShares, Iconomi, Augur, Bytecoin, Golem, MaidSafeCoin, Siacoin, Basic Attention Token, Factom, Stellar Lumens, Byteball, Dogecoin, Gnosis, Ark , Decred, Ardor, Monaco, DigiByte, Nxt, PIVX, Bancor, Storj, AdEx, Decent, BitcoinDark, Asch, Emercoin, Blocknet, Melon, TokenCard, Counterparty, Peercoin, Verge, ReddCoin, ZCoin, LBRY Credits, Namecoin, CloakCoin, Vertcoin, NAV Coin, ZenCash, GridCoin, Karmacoin, Primecoin, Curecoin, Quark, MaxCoin, Mintcoin, ZClassic, ShadowCash, NuBits, Hirocoin
Altcoins aiming to become The world currency to replace all others
I think cryptocurrencies have a chance of not only becoming big, but also replacing Paypal along with even fiat currencies such as $ and €. Apart from super fast transaction speed, low or zero fees, optional privacy, ease of use, and a large enough quantity of coins to allow for microtransactions (even for an altcoin worth $1 quadrillion in market cap), I think it's vital that a contender for an altcoin "universal single currency" for the very long term allow for companies and average people alike to have a single username / address (such as an email address) to send money from or receive money to. I should never have to change this address. What altcoins are most well-positioned to become this ideal currency? I kinda have a shortlist below, but I'd be interested in any other altcoins you might think of: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, IOTA, NEM, Litecoin, Dash, NEO, Ethereum Classic, OmiseGo, Monero, Qtum, Stratis, Waves, Zcash, TenX, EOS, Lisk, STEEM, BitShares, Iconomi, Augur, Bytecoin, Golem, MaidSafeCoin, Siacoin, Basic Attention Token, Factom, Stellar Lumens, Byteball, Dogecoin, Gnosis, Ark , Decred, Ardor, Monaco, DigiByte, Nxt, PIVX, Bancor, Storj, AdEx, Decent, BitcoinDark, Asch, Emercoin, Blocknet, Melon, TokenCard, Counterparty, Peercoin, Verge, ReddCoin, ZCoin, LBRY Credits, Namecoin, CloakCoin, Vertcoin, NAV Coin, ZenCash, GridCoin, Karmacoin, Primecoin, Curecoin, Quark, MaxCoin, Mintcoin, ZClassic, ShadowCash, NuBits, Hirocoin
Unlike Bitcoin, Litecoin uses the memory intensive Scrypt proof of work mining algorithm. Scrypt allows consumer-grade hardware such as GPU to mine those coins, meaning that you can still mine Litecoin on a Mac or on Windows either solo or via a pool, something no longer possible for Bitcoin mining. Scrypt, by design, is more accessible for users that want to mine via CPUs or GPU, as ASIC ... The PrimeCoin(XPM) is released on July 7, 2013, at present it only can use computer cpu doing mining, and mining software is the wallet software. XPM is no limit to the total amount, according to that future prime numbers increased. 1 minute blocks, each block of the output depends on the difficulty of cracking primes. Much like Bitcoin, Litecoin also does not have a set exchange rate in the beginning, so its price is fully determined by the markets’ perceived value by supply & demand. It is also worth noting that the block rewards of Litecoin follow the same halving schedule as Bitcoin, going from 50 LTC to 25 LTC, to 12.5 LTC and so on every 4 years. The next Litecoin halving is expected to happen ... Primecoin Or Namecoin: a Comparison of Primecoin (XPM) and Namecoin (NMC). Which one is a better investment? - 7 days Derived from Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin, Primecoin introduces an unique form of Proof-of-Work based on prime numbers. Learn More. Advantages of Primecoin. The innovative prime Proof-of-Work in Primecoin not only provides security and minting to the network, but also generates a special form of prime number chains of interest to mathematical research. Thus primecoin network is energy-multiuse ...
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